Symbolic imageCIA expands Cuba operations as US widens regime-change push
The Trump administration is deepening its effort to force a leadership change in Havana, with the CIA expanding operations on the island and officials looking for a Cuban figure who could take power. New sanctions now reach the food supply chain.
What happened
- Washington's campaign began a little over six months ago with a strict oil embargo; foreign-run hotels, the island's main income source, have closed.
- In July the State Department sanctioned state importer GECOMEX and port operator GEMAR, raising compliance risks for food and equipment suppliers.
- Over 7,000 containers bound for Havana are stranded after Hapag-Lloyd and CMA CGM suspended their Cuban operations.
- Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced further sanctions on Thursday against five Cuban companies and eight officials, including the armed forces' chief of general staff.
- A recent US intelligence document ranks Cuba a "priority 1" target alongside China, Iran and Russia.
The view from outside
Brazil's Folha, carrying New York Times reporting, says US agencies concluded Cuba resembles Iran more than Venezuela, with mainly hardline figures positioned near power. Jacobin notes the US remains one of Cuba's largest trading partners, exporting over $828 million in goods last year.
What could happen next
- No Cuban official has been found willing to take over; Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez model has no identified equivalent in Havana.
- El País reports that a military operation has not been ruled out.
- Cuba's announced opening to private business fell short of US demands: buying US oil, market access, expelling Russian and Chinese agents.
United States: Cuba's military and intelligence institutions enforce domestic repression and kleptocracy, and sanctions relief requires economic liberalisation and cooperation with Washington.
Cuba: Havana's UN envoy says Trump's 29 January executive order caused the fuel shortage and humanitarian crisis, and that Washington is justifying possible military aggression.
Also involved