Symbolic imageIran war fuel shock hits airlines and freight as UN cuts growth outlook
Delta Air Lines cut its profit forecast on Friday because jet fuel will cost it an extra $6bn this year. Tanker rates have also soared.
Delta lowered its 2026 earnings-per-share guidance to $5.10-$5.60 from $6.50-$7.50 in July, despite record third-quarter revenue of $17.6bn, up 16%. Its fuel expenses rose 69%, and US jet fuel hit $4.71 a gallon on Thursday as a brief revival in Strait of Hormuz shipping appeared to be fading, the FT reports. Chief financial officer Erik Snell said the cut was entirely due to fuel and that prices could stay higher for longer. Unlike European carriers, US airlines do not hedge jet fuel, which leaves them more exposed.
Airlines brace for a hard winter
easyJet and Lufthansa are cutting winter capacity, and Cirium data show the industry removed 6mn seats from October to December schedules in September alone. Ryanair's Michael O'Leary calls the situation "a full-blown crisis" and expects high fuel prices until at least 2028. IAG's Luis Gallego expects smaller carriers to struggle, after Spirit Airlines collapsed in May and airBaltic last month.
Tanker shortage drives freight costs
TASS, citing Bloomberg, reports that chartering a tanker from the US to China costs about $80mn, $6mn more than a Falcon 9 launch. Vitol chief executive Russell Hardy is quoted as saying there is not enough shipping to go around, as the Hormuz situation drives the shortage.
Reserve oil and a lower growth outlook
Reuters headlines report that Germany will release up to 15 million barrels of oil under a G7 plan, and that the UN trade body expects world economic growth to slow to 2.6% in 2026.