Symbolic imageIMF meetings end with warnings on oil, debt and inflation
The IMF's Bangkok meetings ended on Saturday with warnings that the global economy's resilience is under strain. Bloomberg reports the ECB is leaning toward a December rate hike.
Closing the meetings on Saturday, 17 October, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva described "optimism and worry": optimism over resilience, AI and Asia's dynamism, worry over inflation, debt, wars and climate risks. The World Economic Outlook, titled "Resilience under strain, urgent choices", puts the cost of governments' energy support since the Iran war pushed up oil prices at 0.5% of global GDP. The IMF urges temporary, targeted measures instead of across-the-board subsidies. It projects debt in advanced economies rising from 108% of GDP last year to 115% in five years.
Poorer countries squeezed
Georgieva said higher global interest rates mean low-income countries now spend 8 to 14 percent of their revenue on debt repayments. Citing UNCTAD, Reuters reports that developing countries' external debt reached $12.3 trillion in 2025, while OECD donors cut development aid by 23% in real terms.
Central banks weigh oil shock
Bloomberg reports that the ECB leans toward a December hike. Reuters reports that the Bank of Canada sees a sharply higher inflation outlook as oil surges, according to Macklem.