Symbolic imageOil climbs as US-Iran fighting disrupts Hormuz tanker traffic
Crude rose sharply on Friday as fighting between the United States and Iran disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, with WTI near $85 and Brent above $88 a barrel. Bloomberg reports oil is heading for a monthly gain of about 21 percent.
What happened
- Iran's Fars agency says the Revolutionary Guard halted two tankers at the strait; four more changed course.
- Kpler ship-tracking data show two very large crude carriers loaded in the Gulf passed Hormuz on Friday.
- Fighting intensified during July after a temporary truce between Washington and Tehran collapsed.
- Yemen's Houthis became more actively involved; Saudi forces joined US operations against Iran-backed groups in Iraq.
- Falling US crude stocks and a Ukrainian strike on the Volgograd refinery added pressure, per Trading Economics.
The view from outside
US outlets frame the month through corporate winners: Bloomberg reports a record quarterly profit at Chevron and the company's expectation that large fuel margins persist, while the New York Times reports oil profits at their highest in years.
What could happen next
- Unclear how far shipping is actually blocked: Tehran's account and Kpler tracking data diverge.
- No sign of a restored US-Iran truce since the temporary one collapsed this month.
- Saudi participation in US operations in Iraq could widen the theatres affecting shipping and prices.
- Whether Europe refills its lagging gas stores before winter is open, according to the New York Times.
Iran: Tehran asserts control over passage through Hormuz, with the Revolutionary Guard stopping tankers according to the Iranian agency Fars.
United States: Washington continues military operations against Iran and Iran-backed groups after the temporary ceasefire collapsed.
Also involved